AI-Powered Signal Intelligence

Find the opportunities
before the crowd does.

MoonWatch scans markets daily, scores investment signals with AI, tracks IPOs before they go mainstream, and maps every opportunity to your personal financial freedom goal.

Start Free Trial → See how it works
Free to start · No credit card required · Built with Claude AI
3
Asset Classes
5×
Signal Dimensions
4
Powerful Views
∞
Fresh Every Session
The Problem

The best opportunities
never reach retail investors.

Institutional investors have Bloomberg terminals, research teams, and early access to IPOs. Everyone else gets CNBC, Reddit, and whatever their broker recommends — usually after the move has already happened.

MoonWatch was built to close that gap.

📰
You hear about it after it's moved
By the time a stock hits mainstream financial media, early investors have already made 3× and are looking for the exit. The signal came weeks earlier — you just didn't have access to it.
🚀
IPOs are a mystery until it's too late
VCX surged 1,300% in its first week. Most retail investors heard about it after. The pre-IPO buzz, the SEC filing, the roadshow — all public information, but scattered and hard to track.
🎯
Generic advice doesn't match your goal
A "buy SPY and hold" strategy won't get someone to work-optional status by 50. Asymmetric opportunities — the kind that can change your financial trajectory — require a different kind of signal.
Why We Built This

"I spent 20 years in SaaS sales watching companies build wealth while I earned a salary. I knew asymmetric opportunities existed — I just didn't have the tools to find them before everyone else did."

— Chris, Founder of MoonWatch

MoonWatch started as a personal tool. A way to surface the kind of asymmetric investment signals that institutional investors take for granted — conviction scores, IPO tracking, catalyst alerts, on-chain data — all in one place, powered by AI, and connected to a single personal goal: financial freedom.

If you're a busy professional who wants to invest smarter without spending 40 hours a week reading research reports, or a serious self-directed investor looking for better signal tools — MoonWatch was built for you.

The MoonWatch Method

How MoonWatch identifies
genuine asymmetric opportunities.

Not every high-upside investment is asymmetric. MoonWatch applies four strict criteria before an opportunity makes the feed.

01
Upside must be at least 3× the realistic downside
Asymmetric means the risk/reward is genuinely skewed in your favor — not just high upside, but defined downside. If you can lose 1 to potentially make 5, that's asymmetric. If you can lose 1 to make 1.2, it isn't.
02
A specific catalyst must exist within the timeframe
Hope is not a catalyst. Every MoonWatch opportunity has a concrete upcoming event — an earnings call, a protocol upgrade, a regulatory decision, a product launch — that could move the price significantly within the investment window.
03
The market hasn't fully priced in the thesis yet
If everyone already knows about it, the asymmetry is gone. MoonWatch specifically targets opportunities where the signal exists but the crowd hasn't caught up — the window between early and obvious.
04
Conviction must be strong across at least 3 of 5 signal dimensions
A one-dimensional thesis is fragile. MoonWatch scores every opportunity across Sentiment, Catalyst, Liquidity, Insider Signal, and Network Growth. Strong conviction across multiple dimensions means the thesis is robust — not just one lucky data point.
Example conviction breakdown
Nebius Group (NBIS)
AI infrastructure · Growth Equity · 6–18 mo · Med-High risk
Sentiment
88
Catalyst
92
Liquidity
74
Insider Signal
91
Network
82
Strong Asymmetric
↑ 5–12× estimated · All 4 criteria met
88
Every session MoonWatch searches live market data before scoring — grounded in today's conditions, not historical training data.
Who It's For

Built for investors who think
differently about returns.

MoonWatch surfaces asymmetric opportunities for three distinct types of investors — each with their own way in.

🚀
The Asymmetric Investor
Already investing. Looking for an edge.
You understand risk/reward. You're not looking for safe bets — you're looking for plays where the downside is defined and the upside is asymmetric. MoonWatch is your signal layer.
AI opportunity feed with 5-dimension conviction scoring
Is This Asymmetric? — validate any play you're already watching
Web-search grounded AI Analyst for deep-dive thesis
🎯
The Freedom Seeker
Investing with a specific number in mind.
You have a Freedom Number — the amount that makes you work-optional. Every investment decision runs through that lens. MoonWatch makes that math visible on every single opportunity.
Freedom Calculator tied to every opportunity in the feed
Conservative, Base, and Bull case return scenarios per play
Portfolio Advisor aligned to your timeline and goal
📚
The Informed Beginner
New to investing. Ready to learn smart.
You're not starting from scratch — you're starting with better tools than most investors ever get. MoonWatch explains every signal, score, and concept in plain English as you go.
Plain English toggle on every opportunity
Info icons explaining every MoonWatch concept in context
Signal Tracker to build a real performance record over time
What's Inside

Everything you need.
Nothing you don't.

🔭
Asymmetric Opportunity Feed
AI searches live market data every session and surfaces the highest-conviction asymmetric plays across crypto, equity, and real estate. Filter by Now (quick hit) or Long Game (strategic) horizon.
🎯
Freedom Calculator
Set your Freedom Number and target year. Every opportunity shows Conservative, Base, and Bull case return scenarios — and exactly what percentage of your freedom gap each win closes.
🚀
IPO & New Listings Tracker
Pre-IPO buzz, upcoming listings, recent debuts with post-performance data, and lock-up expiration alerts. Four stages tracked so you never miss the next asymmetric listing opportunity.
📊
Conviction Breakdown
No black boxes. Click any opportunity and see exactly what's driving its score across 5 dimensions — Sentiment, Catalyst, Liquidity, Insider Signal, and Network Growth — each with a plain-language reason.
✦
AI Analyst
Generate a full web-search-grounded investment thesis on any opportunity — current news, core thesis, key catalysts, risk factors, and position sizing — personalized to your freedom goal.
📐
Portfolio Advisor
Choose your risk profile — Conservative, Moderate, Aggressive, or Custom. Get a full AI allocation plan with gap analysis, dollar amounts, and current MoonWatch opportunities mapped to each bucket.
🔬
Is This Asymmetric?
Already have investments you like? Enter any stock, crypto, or real estate play and MoonWatch scores it across all 5 signal dimensions — then surfaces similar opportunities from the live feed you may not know about.
📈
Signal Tracker
Log trades made from MoonWatch signals. Track open positions, mark wins and losses, and build a real performance record showing which signals are actually working for you over time.
ⓘ
Contextual Guidance
Info icons on every MoonWatch-proprietary concept explain exactly what you're looking at — conviction scores, signal dimensions, confidence tiers, return scenarios — without cluttering the interface.
How It Works

From signal to decision
in minutes.

1
AI Scans Markets
Claude AI analyzes current conditions across crypto, equity, real estate, and new listings every session.
2
Signals Are Scored
Each opportunity is rated 0–100 across 5 dimensions with a plain-English reason for every score.
3
Mapped to Your Goal
Your Freedom Number transforms every play from abstract data into a personal financial impact statement.
4
Advisor Plans It
Portfolio Advisor maps your risk profile to an allocation plan with current opportunities filling each bucket.
5
You Track Results
Log trades from MoonWatch signals. Build a real record of which signals are working for you over time.
Freedom Calculator

Every opportunity,
connected to your
number.

Most investment tools show you data. MoonWatch shows you what that data means for your actual life — specifically, how each play moves you closer to the day you no longer have to work unless you want to.

Set your Freedom Number. Set your target year. MoonWatch does the rest — automatically on every opportunity, every session.

🎯 Freedom Calculator
6 years to go
Freedom Number
$2,000,000
Current: $680,000
Goal by: 2031
🎯 A $12,400 position in Ondo at 12× = 10% closer to freedom. A $5K bet at full upside covers 9.4% of your goal.
AppLovin Corp
EQUITY · ⚡ Quick Hit · Conv. 88
7.2%
EigenLayer
CRYPTO · ◆ Long Game · Conv. 87
12.8%
Early Access

Join the waitlist.
Be first when we launch.

MoonWatch is in private testing. Join the waitlist and lock in founding member pricing before we open to the public.

14-day free trial when we launch
Founding member pricing locked in forever
First access before public launch
No spam. No credit card. Just early access.
Pricing

Try free for 14 days.
No credit card required.

Two tiers. Both profitable for you, both valuable for users. No free tier — MoonWatch is a professional tool and priced like one.

Starter
Starter
$19/mo
Everything you need to find and validate asymmetric opportunities. API costs included — no Anthropic key required.
✓Full opportunity feed — Now, Long Game, IPO
✓Freedom Calculator with return scenarios
✓5-dimension Conviction Breakdown
✓Is This Asymmetric? — validate any investment
✓Catalyst Alerts with confidence tiers
✓Watchlist + Signal Tracker
✓15 sessions per month included
✗Portfolio Advisor
✗AI Analyst with web search
✗Signal Tracker analytics
Pro
Pro
$49/mo
The complete MoonWatch platform. Unlimited sessions, every feature, and priority result caching so you never wait.
✓Everything in Starter
✓Unlimited sessions
✓Portfolio Advisor — all 4 risk profiles
✓AI Analyst — web search grounded thesis
✓Signal Tracker analytics — which signals win
✓Priority result caching — instant load
✓OddsWatch prediction signals (coming soon)
✓Founding member rate locked in forever
Founding Member Pricing — First 100 members only
Lock in Starter at $14/mo or Pro at $34/mo forever — before we raise prices at general launch.
14-day free trial on both tiers. No credit card required to start.
For informational and research purposes only. MoonWatch does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. The opportunities, signals, conviction scores, and AI-generated analysis provided are for research purposes only. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.